Monday, January 26, 2009

Oscar race update

The Producers and Screen Actors Guilds announced their winners this weekend. Slumdog Millionaire took home the top prize for both. It will now be an upset if it doesn't take home the Oscar for best pic. The SAG award is especially telling. Doubt was nominated for four acting awards to Slumdog's one, yet Slumdog was awarded for best cast in a motion picture.

Heath Ledger is still a lock for supporting actor, but the other three categories just got more competitive than they already were. Sean Penn won the SAG after Mickey Rourke won the Golden Globes. Those two and Frank Langella are in a virtual dead heat. Meryl Streep beat out Kate Winslet and company to win for Doubt, though Winslet at the Oscars is nominated for The Reader, not Revolutionary Road as she was at the SAGs.

But by far the closest race is supporting actress. Kate Winslet matched her GG win with a SAG last night for The Reader. She won't be around come Oscar time in this category, and there's no way to know which way the voters plan to swing when they can't vote for Kate in this category.

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